Election Prediction 2024 Usa. As of the end of july 2024, assuming a biden gallup approval score of 40 percent and a continued rate of jobs growth between 1 and 2 percent, the model predicts a very narrow democratic 2024 victory in the electoral. Follow the ap’s coverage of the 2024 presidential elections, including early voting, election results, electoral college maps, and more.

Our prediction model runs the numbers to assess whether a slim lead will be enough to put ms harris in the white house. In the november election, ap votecast.